SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 52%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
52% ( -1.69) | 22.62% ( 0.36) | 25.37% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.03% ( -0.34) | 39.96% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.67% ( -0.35) | 62.32% ( 0.35) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( -0.69) | 15.48% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.64% ( -1.3) | 44.36% ( 1.29) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.86) | 28.9% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( 1.06) | 64.77% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.78% Total : 52% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.37% |
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