Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 52%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glenavon
52% ( -1.69)	22.62% ( 0.36)	25.37% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 60.09% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.03% (

-0.34)

39.96% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.67% (

-0.35)

62.32% (

0.35)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

-0.69)

15.48% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.64% (

-1.3)

44.36% (

1.29)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

0.86)

28.9% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

1.06)

64.77% (

-1.07)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 52%

Glenavon 25.37%

Draw 22.61%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glenavon
2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.78% Total : 52%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.37% Total : 25.37%