SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
67.56% ( 0.01) | 18.69% ( -0.01) | 13.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.02) | 39.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( 0.02) | 62.07% ( -0.03) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.19% ( 0.01) | 10.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.14% ( 0.02) | 34.86% ( -0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0) | 40.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.53% ( 0.01) | 77.47% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 10.94% 1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 4.24% Total : 67.56% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.69% | 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.3% 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.75% |
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