Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
