SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Loughgall |
51.37% ( -1.03) | 24.13% ( 0.55) | 24.49% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( -1.93) | 47.54% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% ( -1.81) | 69.75% ( 1.81) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -1.11) | 18.51% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.27% ( -1.91) | 49.73% ( 1.91) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% ( -0.64) | 33.69% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% ( -0.7) | 70.34% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Loughgall |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.49% |
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