Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 0-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFC	Draw	Glenavon
16.77% ( 0.01)	18.98% ( 0.01)	64.25% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59.47% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.4% (

-0.02)

34.6% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.46% (

-0.02)

56.54% (

0.02)

Newry City AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22% (

-0)

33.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

-0)

70.44% (

0.01)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.79% (

-0.01)

10.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.5% (

-0.02)

33.49% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Newry City AFC 16.77%

Glenavon 64.25%

Draw 18.98%

Newry City AFC	Draw	Glenavon
2-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 16.77%	1-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.98%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.9% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 4.21% Total : 64.25%