SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 16.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 0-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 2-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glenavon |
16.77% ( 0.01) | 18.98% ( 0.01) | 64.25% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.02) | 34.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( -0.02) | 56.54% ( 0.02) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( -0) | 33.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( -0) | 70.44% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.79% ( -0.01) | 10.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.5% ( -0.02) | 33.49% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 16.77% | 1-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.83% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.9% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 4.21% Total : 64.25% |
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