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Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Central Park

Kelty Hearts
1 - 1
Linfield

Kelty Hearts win 5-4 on penalties
Higginbotham (83')
Martin (44')
FT
(aet)
McKee (44' pen.)
Finlayson (27'), Roscoe (60')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Kelty Hearts and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-0 Peterhead
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Linfield 3-1 Carrick
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-0 (7.07%).

Result
Kelty HeartsDrawLinfield
18.39% (2.988 2.99) 24.65% (1.75 1.75) 56.97% (-4.733 -4.73)
Both teams to score 44.39% (0.808 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.85% (-2.038 -2.04)56.15% (2.041 2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79% (-1.677 -1.68)77.21% (1.68 1.68)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.23% (2.643 2.64)44.77% (-2.637 -2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.25% (2.048 2.05)80.75% (-2.044 -2.04)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-2.5 -2.5)19.64% (2.504 2.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (-4.238 -4.24)51.6% (4.243 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Kelty Hearts 18.39%
    Linfield 56.96%
    Draw 24.65%
Kelty HeartsDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 7.07% (1.002 1)
2-1 @ 4.62% (0.629 0.63)
2-0 @ 2.84% (0.576 0.58)
3-1 @ 1.24% (0.245 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 18.39%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.81 0.81)
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.67 0.67)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.24 0.24)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 14.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.64% (-0.99 -0.99)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 6.32% (-1.113 -1.11)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-4 @ 2.57% (-0.707 -0.71)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 56.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-0 Peterhead
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Montrose
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 2-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Linfield 3-1 Carrick
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, November 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Larne
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Linfield
Friday, November 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Glenavon
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 0-0 Cliftonville
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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