SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 83.84%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 5.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.25%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.27%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
83.84% ( 2.06) | 11.09% ( -1.24) | 5.08% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.9% ( 2.48) | 32.1% ( -2.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.32% ( 2.84) | 53.68% ( -2.84) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.48% ( 0.88) | 5.52% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.5% ( 2.47) | 21.5% ( -2.47) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.22% ( -0.94) | 54.78% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.25% ( -0.57) | 87.75% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.67)1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.71)2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.26)5-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.63)5-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.3)6-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.21)7-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.22)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.92% Total : 83.83% | 1-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.59) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.5% Total : 11.09% | 0-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.67% Total : 5.08% |
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