Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
