SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 89.32%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 3.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.24%) and 2-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.47%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
89.32% ( -0.01) | 7.46% ( 0) | 3.21% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.03% ( -0.01) | 21.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.15% ( -0.02) | 40.85% ( 0.02) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.03% ( -0) | 2.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.59% ( -0.01) | 13.41% ( 0.01) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.84% | 54.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.63% | 87.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 3-0 @ 11.65% 4-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0)5-0 @ 7.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.29% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.66% ( 0)5-1 @ 4.42% ( -0)6-0 @ 4.23% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)7-0 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.36% 7-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)8-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 4% Total : 89.31% | 1-1 @ 3.47% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.87% 0-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 7.46% | 1-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) 0-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.16% Total : 3.21% |
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