Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 80.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 6.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.42%) and 0-1 (11.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
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