SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
16.4% ( 0.29) | 21.08% ( -0.07) | 62.53% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.84) | 45.09% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.8) | 67.44% ( -0.8) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.88) | 40.65% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( 0.78) | 77.24% ( -0.79) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( 0.2) | 13.83% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.81% ( 0.39) | 41.19% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.4% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 11% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.26% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 62.52% |
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