SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.03%) and 0-3 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glentoran |
8.54% ( 1.49) | 16.86% ( 2.12) | 74.6% ( -3.6) |
| Both teams to score 40.62% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( -4.25) | 45.94% ( 4.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( -4.16) | 68.25% ( 4.16) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.49% ( 0.94) | 54.51% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.41% ( 0.56) | 87.59% ( -0.56) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( -1.97) | 10.69% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.4% ( -4.59) | 34.6% ( 4.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.23)Other @ 1.53% Total : 8.54% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.95) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.99)2-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.44% Total : 16.86% | 0-2 @ 14.56% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 13.03% ( 1.23)0-3 @ 10.85% ( -0.84)1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 6.07% ( -1.07)1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.52)0-5 @ 2.71% ( -0.77)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.41)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)0-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.4)Other @ 2.5% Total : 74.59% |
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