Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
Schikavko (45+6'), Resta Tell (49'), Fornalczyk (59')
Matuszewski (28'), Dlugosz (64'), Trojak (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.
| Result |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
48.06% ( -0.09) | 25.62% ( 0.02) | 26.32% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.15% ( -0.01) |
| 47.82% ( -0.04) | 52.18% ( 0.05) |
| 26.11% ( -0.04) | 73.89% ( 0.04) |
| 78.28% ( -0.05) | 21.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.09) | 54.89% ( 0.09) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| 65.34% ( 0.03) | 34.66% ( -0.03) |
