SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Korona Kielce |
54.88% ( 1.14) | 23.89% ( 0.06) | 21.23% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( -1.57) | 49.87% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( -1.42) | 71.87% ( 1.43) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( -0.16) | 18.05% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.04% ( -0.27) | 48.95% ( 0.27) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( -2.06) | 38.01% ( 2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.22% ( -2.05) | 74.78% ( 2.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.53)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.87% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.23% |
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