SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
27.53% ( 0.61) | 21.66% ( 0.23) | 50.8% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 65.76% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.62) | 33.43% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.78% ( -0.71) | 55.21% ( 0.71) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.08) | 23.93% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( 0.11) | 58.15% ( -0.11) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( -0.48) | 13.55% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( -0.97) | 40.64% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.53% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.96% Total : 50.8% |
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