Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Sunderland Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
15.52% ( 0.24) | 17.55% ( 0.17) | 66.92% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 62.07% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.99% ( -0.34) | 30.01% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.79% ( -0.41) | 51.2% ( 0.41) |
Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.72% ( 0.06) | 32.28% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.22% ( 0.07) | 68.78% ( -0.07) |
Southampton Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.66% ( -0.18) | 8.34% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.94% ( -0.44) | 29.05% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
2-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 15.52% | 1-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.55% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.76% Total : 66.92% |
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