Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Burnley Under-23s had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Burnley Under-23s win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.
