SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 61.66%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
61.66% ( 0.17) | 18.22% ( -0.36) | 20.12% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 69.49% ( 1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.15% ( 2.12) | 24.85% ( -2.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.28% ( 2.74) | 44.72% ( -2.74) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% ( 0.64) | 8.04% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.69% ( 1.59) | 28.3% ( -1.59) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 1.48) | 24.43% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( 2.05) | 58.86% ( -2.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.48)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.55)4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.16)4-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.17)6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 4.4% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.2)0-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.22% | 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.16)0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 20.12% |
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