Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Sunderland Under-23s win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
