SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
| 34.06% | 27.74% | 38.2% |
| Both teams to score 48.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% | 57.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% | 78.2% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.91% | 68.09% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% | 29.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.99% | 65.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.06% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.19% |
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