Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
43.35% ( -1.11) | 26.82% ( 0.14) | 29.82% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45% ( -0.11) | 55% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.73% ( -0.09) | 76.27% ( 0.08) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -0.6) | 25.16% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.84) | 59.88% ( 0.84) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( 0.68) | 33.41% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( 0.74) | 70.04% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.82% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: