SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Manchester City | 6 | 14 | 14 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | West Ham United | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 20 | Leicester City | 6 | -8 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Leicester City |
64.97% ( 1.77) | 19.01% ( -0.71) | 16.02% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.73% ( 1.32) | 36.27% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.61% ( 1.43) | 58.39% ( -1.43) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.5% ( 0.84) | 10.5% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.84% ( 1.86) | 34.16% ( -1.85) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.44) | 35.7% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( -0.45) | 72.48% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.19)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.91% Total : 64.97% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.42% Total : 16.02% |
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