Brentford have developed an affinity for London derbies during their inaugural Premier League season and are playing without any fear, which bodes well against a Tottenham side whose confidence was rocked somewhat last weekend.
The Lilywhites' toothless attacking showing against Brighton was surely just a one-off, and while Brentford will feel confident of keeping up their stellar goalscoring run, we are still expecting Conte's side to just edge an entertaining contest given the Bees' defensive absentees.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
