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Thursday, March 28
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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
NL

Spurs
5 - 1
Newcastle

Davies (43'), Doherty (48'), Heung-min (54'), Emerson (63'), Bergwijn (83')
Kane (26'), Bentancur (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schar (39')
Saint-Maximin (45+3'), Joelinton (45+3'), Burn (46')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Newcastle United

Tottenham are in need of all three points to keep themselves in contention for a top-four finish, and we are expecting the home side to triumph here. Newcastle are a much-improved outfit in 2022, but Tottenham's quality in the final third should allow them to secure an important victory on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 12.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawNewcastle United
68.3%19.06%12.64%
Both teams to score 48.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92%44.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54%66.46%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.14%11.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87%37.13%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.61%45.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76%81.24%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 68.3%
    Newcastle United 12.64%
    Draw 19.06%
Tottenham HotspurDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 12.23%
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 6.87%
4-0 @ 4.64%
4-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 68.3%
1-1 @ 9.06%
0-0 @ 5.38%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.06%
0-1 @ 4.25%
1-2 @ 3.58%
0-2 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.01%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 12.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, March 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Spurs
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Spurs
Saturday, March 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 5-0 Everton
Monday, March 7 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Spurs
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.55pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 0-4 Spurs
Saturday, February 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Newcastle
Thursday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Newcastle
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Newcastle
Thursday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-2 Newcastle
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 19 at 12.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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