Tottenham are in need of all three points to keep themselves in contention for a top-four finish, and we are expecting the home side to triumph here. Newcastle are a much-improved outfit in 2022, but Tottenham's quality in the final third should allow them to secure an important victory on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
