While West Ham will be on a major high after making club history in Europe, fatigue, the absence of Bowen and enforced alterations will play right into Tottenham's hands in this derby.
There is no doubt that Moyes's side can still trouble this shaky Spurs backline, but with the hosts enjoying a golden streak in front of goal and seemingly having a clear identity in their XI, we are backing Conte's side to crash the West Ham party.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tottenham Hotspur.
