We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham are winning a lot of football matches at the moment, and they were excellent going forward in last weekend's 5-1 win over Newcastle. Villa will make it difficult for Conte's side, but we believe that the visitors will have enough quality in the final third to put another huge three points on the board.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.