Brentford will certainly be the fresher of the two teams on Sunday, while their squad is in better shape in terms of absentees. Leicester have lost four times at home in the Premier League this season; we are not backing them to lose this one but believe that Brentford have enough quality to claim a welcome point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
