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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 4, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
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Brighton
vs.
Arsenal

 
Coverage of the Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brighton vs. Brentford
Friday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Arsenal vs. Ipswich
Friday, December 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.4%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 22.37% and a draw has a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (7.98%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.52%).

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
22.37% (-2.873 -2.87) 21.22% (-1.103 -1.1) 56.4% (3.977 3.98)
Both teams to score 61.41% (0.394 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (2.09 2.09)36.61% (-2.087 -2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (2.24 2.24)58.76% (-2.237 -2.24)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-1.16 -1.16)29.48% (1.162 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-1.439 -1.44)65.49% (1.441 1.44)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (1.96 1.96)12.93% (-1.957 -1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (3.863 3.86)39.38% (-3.861 -3.86)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 22.37%
    Arsenal 56.4%
    Draw 21.22%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 5.82% (-0.573 -0.57)
1-0 @ 4.66% (-0.663 -0.66)
2-0 @ 2.84% (-0.512 -0.51)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.37% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.253 -0.25)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 22.37%
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.606 -0.61)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.404 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.329 0.33)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.64% (0.517 0.52)
0-3 @ 5.44% (0.583 0.58)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.192 0.19)
1-4 @ 3.4% (0.48 0.48)
0-4 @ 2.78% (0.469 0.47)
2-4 @ 2.08% (0.235 0.24)
1-5 @ 1.39% (0.279 0.28)
0-5 @ 1.14% (0.257 0.26)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 56.4%

Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-3 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 3-1 Brighton
Thursday, December 5 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Southampton
Friday, November 29 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Brighton
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Everton
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Monaco
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Man Utd
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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