SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Arsenal |
28.31% ( -0.07) | 22.83% ( 0) | 48.85% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( -0.06) | 38.51% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.19% ( -0.06) | 60.81% ( 0.06) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -0.07) | 26.03% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.93% ( -0.1) | 61.06% ( 0.1) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% | 16.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.58% ( 0) | 45.42% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.85% |
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