SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Arsenal |
38.01% ( -0.38) | 24.38% ( 0.1) | 37.6% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.05% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( -0.51) | 42.7% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( -0.51) | 65.1% ( 0.5) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.42) | 22.4% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( -0.63) | 55.91% ( 0.62) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.09) | 22.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( -0.13) | 56.22% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
