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Bradford vs. Notts County: 11 hrs 47 mins
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NL
Premier League | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
BL
Newcastle
3 - 1
Burnley
Saint-Maximin (14'), Wilson (65', 77' pen.)
Joelinton (37'), Lewis (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Westwood (61')
Tarkowski (37'), Barnes (40'), McNeil (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
38.9%28.42%32.67%
Both teams to score 46.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.28%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%29.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99%34.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31%70.69%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 38.9%
    Burnley 32.67%
    Draw 28.41%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 32.67%

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