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EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Jan 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Anfield
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Liverpool
0 - 0
Arsenal


Robertson (57')
FT

Magalhaes (72')
Xhaka (24')

We said: Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal

Arsenal's complete lack of a midfield presence is there to be exposed by a refreshed Liverpool outfit this week, although the Reds hardly have their first-choice XI available either. The return of several big-hitters should at least help the Gunners post one shot on target at Anfield, but we cannot look past Klopp's side to take a first-leg advantage into next week's second leg at the Emirates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
56.35%22.28%21.37%
Both teams to score 56.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2%42.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79%65.2%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51%43.48%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12%33.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45%70.55%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 56.35%
    Arsenal 21.37%
    Draw 22.28%
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-1 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 21.37%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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