SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Manchester City |
21.34% ( 0.06) | 22.8% ( 0) | 55.87% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( 0.07) | 45.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( 0.07) | 67.49% ( -0.06) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.78% ( 0.1) | 35.23% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.02% ( 0.1) | 71.99% ( -0.09) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0) | 15.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.7% ( 0.01) | 45.3% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.04% 0-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.77% 0-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.86% |
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