SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
46.39% ( -0.11) | 25.83% ( 0.04) | 27.78% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% ( -0.11) | 52.11% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( -0.1) | 73.83% ( 0.09) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.1) | 22.44% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( -0.15) | 55.98% ( 0.15) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0) | 33.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.92% ( -0) | 70.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.78% |
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