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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
MU

Spurs
2 - 2
Man Utd

Porro (56'), Heung-min (79')
Hojbjerg (41')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sancho (7'), Rashford (44')
Wan-Bissaka (43'), Lindelof (59')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawManchester United
39.43% (-0.401 -0.4) 23.79% (-0.141 -0.14) 36.78% (0.54 0.54)
Both teams to score 62.23% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (0.739 0.74)39.86% (-0.741 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.78% (0.764 0.76)62.22% (-0.764 -0.76)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (0.13 0.13)20.46% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.207 0.21)52.93% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (0.611 0.61)21.75% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (0.924 0.92)54.93% (-0.925 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 39.43%
    Manchester United 36.78%
    Draw 23.79%
Tottenham HotspurDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.43%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Spurs
Monday, April 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 3-3 Spurs
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Man Utd (6-7 pen.)
Sunday, April 23 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Everton
Saturday, April 8 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Brentford
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Premier League


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