MX23RW : Monday, April 22 13:18:13
SM
AC Milan vs. Inter Milan: 5 hrs 26 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
AV
Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
LT

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Luton

McGinn (17'), Diaby (49'), Lockyer (62' og.)
Zaniolo (28'), Cash (51'), Kamara (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (83' og.)
Kabore (53'), Doughty (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-4 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLuton Town
55.11% (1.741 1.74) 23.23% (0.227 0.23) 21.66% (-1.969 -1.97)
Both teams to score 53.46% (-3.324 -3.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (-3.187 -3.19)46.63% (3.187 3.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.11% (-3.061 -3.06)68.9% (3.06 3.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (-0.532 -0.53)16.78% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.27% (-0.955 -0.95)46.74% (0.955 0.95)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-3.56 -3.56)35.76% (3.559 3.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-3.845 -3.85)72.53% (3.845 3.85)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 55.11%
    Luton Town 21.66%
    Draw 23.22%
Aston VillaDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% (1.203 1.2)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.921 0.92)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.456 0.46)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.352 -0.35)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6% (0.768 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.241 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.442 -0.44)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.363 -0.36)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 1-4 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .