Given Palace's prowess at Selhurst Park and Southampton's struggles on the road, a home win seems the likeliest outcome on Saturday. A certain amount of frustration carried over from their loss last week should see the hosts start on the front foot, with unstinting support from the stands helping them over the line.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.
-0.12) 
0.04) 
