SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
53.73% ( -0.15) | 23.53% ( -0) | 22.74% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( 0.18) | 46.7% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( 0.17) | 68.96% ( -0.17) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( 0.01) | 17.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( 0.02) | 47.66% ( -0.02) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( 0.24) | 34.78% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( 0.26) | 71.51% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.72% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 22.74% |
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