Despite West Ham sitting higher in the table, there is an argument that Villa are the marginal favourites ahead of this contest. Nevertheless, West Ham have been playing well without converting their chances, and if everything comes together at the weekend, we can see an entertaining draw being played out in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
40.66%	27.55%	31.79%

Both teams to score 48.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89%

57.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01%

77.98%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44%

27.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92%

63.08%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91%

33.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31%

69.69%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 40.65%

Aston Villa 31.78%

Draw 27.54%

West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.65%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.78%