Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Watford had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal in this match.
