Premier League | Gameweek 12

Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
4 - 1
Man Utd

King (28'), Sarr (44'), Pedro (90+2'), Dennis (90+6')
Louza (45'), Dennis (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

van de Beek (50')
McTominay (19'), Maguire (62')
Maguire (69')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Manchester United
20.14%	22.87%	56.99%

Both teams to score 52.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76%

69.24%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.52%

37.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.73%

74.27%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74%

16.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.21%

45.79%

Score Analysis

Watford 20.14%

Manchester United 56.98%

Draw 22.87%

Watford	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 5.98% 2-1 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 2.93% 3-1 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.14%	1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.87%	0-1 @ 11.07% 0-2 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 5.98% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 2.71% 2-4 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.98%