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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
SL

Watford
0 - 1
Southampton


Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
32.11%26.5%41.39%
Both teams to score 51.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03%52.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44%74.56%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25%30.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99%67.01%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75%25.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99%60.01%
Score Analysis
    Watford 32.11%
    Southampton 41.38%
    Draw 26.5%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.11%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.68%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.38%

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