SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.77% ( 0.13) | 25.3% ( 0.09) | 22.92% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.56) | 53.68% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -0.48) | 75.17% ( 0.47) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.18) | 20.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.62% ( -0.28) | 53.37% ( 0.27) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( -0.53) | 38.49% ( 0.52) |
