SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.77% ( 0.13) | 25.3% ( 0.09) | 22.92% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.56) | 53.68% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -0.48) | 75.17% ( 0.47) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.18) | 20.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.62% ( -0.28) | 53.37% ( 0.27) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( -0.53) | 38.49% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.75% ( -0.51) | 75.24% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.92% |
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