Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.