SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
43.25% ( 0.09) | 26.32% ( 0.01) | 30.42% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( -0.1) | 52.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( -0.08) | 74.43% ( 0.08) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0) | 24.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( 0.01) | 58.58% ( -0.01) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( -0.13) | 31.84% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% ( -0.15) | 68.28% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.42% |
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