SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
35% ( 0.38) | 26.2% ( 0.35) | 38.79% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 53.43% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -1.45) | 51.14% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -1.28) | 72.99% ( 1.29) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.47) | 27.99% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.6) | 63.63% ( 0.61) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -1.05) | 25.8% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -1.45) | 60.76% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.79% |
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