SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
37.79% ( -1.12) | 23.73% ( -0.08) | 38.49% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.44) | 39.49% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.17% ( 0.46) | 61.83% ( -0.46) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.35) | 21.09% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( -0.55) | 53.91% ( 0.54) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 0.78) | 20.75% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% ( 1.22) | 53.38% ( -1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.49% |
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