Boavista and Vitoria de Guimaraes have struggled for results in recent weeks and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. While Petit's side have the home advantage, Os Vimaranenses are unbeaten in three of their last four away games. We predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
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