Despite Boavista's inability to score goals in recent matches — the Panthers have not netted in three of the last five league games — this game has often produced goals since their first meeting in January 2020.
Famalicao won the corresponding fixture last season, but their ongoing misery on the road suggests a similar result may be unlikely, so a draw with both teams scoring could be on the cards.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.09) 
