SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Braga |
19.47% ( -0.05) | 22.35% ( -0) | 58.17% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.06) | 45.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.05) | 68.03% ( 0.05) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.08) | 37.45% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( -0.08) | 74.23% ( 0.08) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.59% ( -0) | 15.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.77% ( -0.01) | 44.23% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.17% |
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