SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
56.24% ( 0.59) | 23.97% ( -0.11) | 19.78% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% ( -0.18) | 51.91% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% ( -0.16) | 73.66% ( 0.15) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( 0.15) | 18.3% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( 0.26) | 49.38% ( -0.26) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( -0.63) | 40.69% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.72% ( -0.57) | 77.28% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.23% Total : 19.78% |
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